Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's involvement in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and government announcements
Story
Trump Calls Assad a 'Butcher,' Says Turkey Behind 'Unfriendly Takeover' in Syria, Praises Erdogan
Dec 16, 2024, 05:28 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump has stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, describing the event as an 'unfriendly takeover' by Turkey. Trump remarked that 'Turkey wanted Syria for thousands of years' and praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that he 'got along with Erdogan great.' He highlighted that Erdogan has built a 'very strong, powerful army' that has not been worn out by war. Trump called Assad a 'butcher' for his actions against children and suggested that 'Turkey holds the key to Syria's future.' He added that although no one knows the final outcome in Syria, he believes Turkey will emerge as the winner.
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Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%