Market
Outcome of Turkey's Involvement in Syria by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Erdogan Announces Hakan Fidan's Upcoming Visit to Syria for Constitutional Reform and Support for New State Structure
Dec 20, 2024, 11:11 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced that Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan will soon visit Syria to collaborate on a new state structure. Erdogan emphasized the importance of supporting the new Syrian administration in its development, stating that Syrian citizens will determine their future. He highlighted the need for constitutional reform as a critical step in rebuilding Syria. Erdogan's remarks came during his return from a trip to Egypt, where he reiterated Turkey's commitment to assist Syria in establishing its governance framework and ensuring security along its southern border.
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant PKK/YPG losses • 25%
Minor PKK/YPG losses • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%