Market
What will be Turkey's influence outcome in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official government statements
Story
Trump: Turkey 'Holds the Key' to Syria After 'Unfriendly Takeover'; Praises Erdogan's Strong Army
Dec 16, 2024, 05:48 PM
President-elect Donald Trump praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that Erdogan is somebody he 'got along with great.' Trump stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, describing it as an 'unfriendly takeover without a lot of lives being lost.' He emphasized that Turkey has 'not been worn out with war' and has built a 'very strong, powerful army.' Trump suggested that Turkey will 'hold the key' to what happens in Syria, adding that 'they've wanted Syria for thousands of years and now he got it.' He also mentioned that Turkey controls the rebels who took over from Assad and characterized Assad as 'a butcher' for his actions against children.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%