Market
What will be the outcome of US-Turkey cooperation on Syria by the end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Turkish•Hakan Fidan•Tayyip Erdogan•Ankara•Syria•Blinken•Fidan•ISIS•US•Turkey•Hamas•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%
Official government statements and credible news reports
Story
Blinken and Turkey's Fidan Agree on Syria's Future, Urge Gaza Ceasefire
Dec 13, 2024, 10:02 AM
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara to discuss efforts to stabilize Syria and combat terrorism. Blinken and Fidan agreed on the importance of preventing the resurgence of ISIS and other terrorist groups in Syria, emphasizing the necessity to deny territory to ISIS. Blinken noted that the US and Turkey have a broad agreement on what they want to see in Syria's future. They also discussed their countries' potential roles in shaping Syria's future, emphasizing cooperation on ensuring Syria's stability, unity, and sovereignty. Additionally, Blinken urged Turkey to use its influence over Hamas to agree to a ceasefire in Gaza, with both sides agreeing that a ceasefire should be reached as soon as possible.
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Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change in ISIS activity • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
Significant reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Diplomatic engagements • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiatives • 25%
No significant cooperation • 25%
Joint military operations • 25%
Agreement on de-escalation measures • 25%
Increased tensions leading to sanctions • 25%
Continued diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%