Market
Will Turkey establish control over significant Syrian territory by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and government announcements
Story
Trump Calls Assad a 'Butcher,' Says Turkey Behind 'Unfriendly Takeover' in Syria, Praises Erdogan
Dec 16, 2024, 05:28 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump has stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, describing the event as an 'unfriendly takeover' by Turkey. Trump remarked that 'Turkey wanted Syria for thousands of years' and praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that he 'got along with Erdogan great.' He highlighted that Erdogan has built a 'very strong, powerful army' that has not been worn out by war. Trump called Assad a 'butcher' for his actions against children and suggested that 'Turkey holds the key to Syria's future.' He added that although no one knows the final outcome in Syria, he believes Turkey will emerge as the winner.
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Partial control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Other status • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Increased YPG control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased Turkish influence • 25%
Increased Syrian government control • 25%
HTS • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control Aleppo • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control both Damascus and Aleppo • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control Damascus • 25%
Neither city under Turkey-backed control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%