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What will be the level of Syrian stability by Dec 31, 2025, following Turkey's initiatives?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international organizations such as the UN or analyses by major think tanks
Story
Turkey's Fidan Tells Blinken: No PKK/YPG in Syria, Urges Syrian Stability
Dec 28, 2024, 03:41 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan spoke with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, emphasizing that Turkey will not permit the PKK/YPG terrorist organization to shelter in Syria. Fidan underlined the importance of collaborating with Syria's new administration to ensure stability and complete the transition period in an orderly manner. The U.S. Department of State confirmed that Blinken and Fidan discussed the shared goal of preventing terrorism from jeopardizing the security of both Turkey and Syria, and emphasized the need to support a Syrian-led political process.
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Other outcome • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%