Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's diplomatic efforts for Syrian stability by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International diplomatic reports and agreements
Story
Erdogan Vows Support for Syrian Stability, Condemns Terrorism and CHP's Provocations
Dec 10, 2024, 12:19 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has reiterated Turkey's commitment to supporting the Syrian people, emphasizing the country's stance against any attempts to divide or destabilize Syria. In a series of statements, Erdogan highlighted Turkey's support for the stability and territorial integrity of Syria, vowing to stand with the Syrian people against any attacks on their sovereignty. He mentioned that Turkey will support Syrians returning to their homes, ensuring voluntary, safe, and dignified returns. Erdogan also condemned terrorism, stating that groups like ISIS, PKK, and PYD will be defeated soon. He discussed these matters with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, focusing on regional and global issues, including the situation in Syria. Erdogan also criticized the CHP for their provocations regarding Syrian refugees.
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Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Consulate does not open • 25%
Consulate opens but faces significant operational challenges • 25%
Consulate opening is delayed • 25%
Consulate opens and functions normally • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Improved stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%