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What will be the outcome of TikTok's status in the U.S. by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government agencies
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available in U.S. Amid ByteDance Divestment Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 06:43 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has publicly thanked President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to working with the company to find a solution that would keep TikTok available in the United States. This statement follows the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that threatens to ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests its stake by January 19. Chew emphasized Trump's understanding of the platform, noting the president-elect's use of TikTok to express his own thoughts and perspectives, which has garnered over 60 billion views. Trump has indicated that he will make a decision on TikTok's future in the near future, but has not specified what actions he might take.
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Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%