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What will be the outcome of TikTok's U.S. situation by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, U.S. regulatory bodies, and court rulings
Story
Lawmakers Warn Apple, Google: Remove TikTok by January 19 if ByteDance Doesn't Sell
Dec 14, 2024, 05:36 AM
Key House lawmakers from the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party have warned Apple and Google to prepare to remove TikTok from their U.S. app stores by January 19 if the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, does not sell its U.S. operations. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, is scrambling in federal court to halt a federal law requiring ByteDance to divest to a U.S. owner or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19. A federal appeals court has rejected TikTok's request to temporarily halt the impending ban, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court. The lawmakers emphasize concerns over national security and data privacy due to TikTok's ties to China.
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Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Mandate extended • 25%
Mandate modified • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold • 33%
No action taken • 33%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Divests from ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
ByteDance divests US assets • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Challenges upheld • 33%
Challenges rejected • 33%
Case unresolved • 33%