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What will be the status of TikTok in the US by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
News reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or official announcements from TikTok or ByteDance
Story
White House Calls TikTok's Threat to Shut Down on Sunday a 'Stunt' Before Trump Takes Office
Jan 18, 2025, 06:45 PM
The White House has dismissed TikTok's threat to shut down its service in the US on Sunday as a 'stunt'. White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre stated that there is no reason for TikTok or other companies to take action before the Trump administration takes office on Monday. This statement comes in response to TikTok's claim that it needed assurances from the Biden administration that companies like Apple and Google would not face legal repercussions for continuing to offer the app, following a Supreme Court ruling that upheld a ban on TikTok unless its parent company, ByteDance, sells the platform by Sunday.
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Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues operations • 33%