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What resolution will TikTok reach for U.S. operations by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full divestment and continued operation • 25%
Partial divestment with conditions • 25%
No divestment and continued operation • 25%
Operation ceased in U.S. • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government agencies
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available in U.S. Amid ByteDance Divestment Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 06:43 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has publicly thanked President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to working with the company to find a solution that would keep TikTok available in the United States. This statement follows the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that threatens to ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests its stake by January 19. Chew emphasized Trump's understanding of the platform, noting the president-elect's use of TikTok to express his own thoughts and perspectives, which has garnered over 60 billion views. Trump has indicated that he will make a decision on TikTok's future in the near future, but has not specified what actions he might take.
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Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Ban is lifted without sale • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is lifted following sale • 25%
Ban is indefinitely postponed • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Significant layoffs • 25%
No layoffs • 25%
Workforce expansion • 25%
Minor layoffs • 25%