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What will be the outcome for TikTok's U.S. operations by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, Elon Musk's companies, or the U.S. government
Story
China Considers Allowing Elon Musk to Buy TikTok's U.S. Operations for $40-50 Billion Amid Ban Threat
Jan 15, 2025, 05:20 AM
Chinese officials are reportedly considering allowing Elon Musk to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations for an estimated $40 to $50 billion as a potential strategy to avoid an impending ban on the platform in the United States. The discussions come as TikTok, owned by ByteDance, faces a deadline of January 19, 2025, to either sell its U.S. operations or face a ban. The sale to Musk would involve the American branch of TikTok, which has 170 million users, potentially integrating it with Musk's social media platform X. However, TikTok has denied these discussions, labeling them as 'pure fiction.' The potential acquisition is seen as a response to U.S. national security concerns over TikTok's Chinese ownership and data privacy issues.
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Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's company X • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Remains under ByteDance ownership • 25%
Sold to another buyer • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%