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What will be the outcome of TikTok's situation in the US by January 20, 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•Biden•Biden Administration•White House•Department of Justice•Apple•Google•Amazon•Oracle
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from TikTok, the Biden administration, or major news outlets
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19, Impacting 170 Million Users, Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 01:41 AM
TikTok announced that it will shut down its app in the United States on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration provides a definitive statement assuring that the ban on the app will not be enforced. The company stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." TikTok emphasized that current responses from the White House and the Department of Justice lack the necessary clarity for service providers such as Apple, Google, Amazon, and Oracle, which are essential for maintaining the app's availability to over 170 million active U.S. users. The company is urging the administration to provide the required assurances to prevent the app from going offline.
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Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%