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What will be the outcome of TikTok's availability in the US by Jan 31, 2025?
2
TikTok•Shou Zi Chew•Donald Trump•United States•Supreme Court•Chinese•ByteDance•Chew•American•Trump•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains available • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Official announcements from the Trump administration, TikTok, or ByteDance
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available Amid Supreme Court Ban Threat
Jan 17, 2025, 06:39 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has expressed gratitude to President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution that would allow the app to remain available in the United States. This comes after the Supreme Court upheld a law that could lead to a ban on TikTok starting Sunday, unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests its stake. Chew emphasized the importance of TikTok as a platform for free speech for its over 170 million American users. He highlighted Trump's understanding of the platform, noting that the president-elect has used TikTok to connect with audiences, amassing over 60 billion views. The Biden administration has decided not to enforce the ban, leaving the decision to Trump, who is set to be inaugurated on Monday. Chew is expected to attend the inauguration, signaling ongoing discussions between TikTok and the incoming administration.
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TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%