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What will be the outcome of TikTok's situation in the US by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or US government
Story
President-elect Trump Likely to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Decision Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:40 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News' Kristen Welker on Saturday that he will "most likely" grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump indicated that he has not made a final decision but said, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday." The extension would provide TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, additional time to negotiate a sale or address national security concerns raised by U.S. officials.
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Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%