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What will be the outcome of TikTok's availability in the U.S. by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or U.S. government
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available for 170 Million U.S. Users Amid Supreme Court Upholding Ban on ByteDance
Jan 17, 2025, 06:48 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew expressed gratitude to President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution to keep the app available in the United States following the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that could ban TikTok. In a video message posted on TikTok, Chew thanked Trump for supporting the company's efforts to remain accessible to over 170 million U.S. users, emphasizing Trump's understanding of the platform and his use of it to generate over 60 billion views. The Supreme Court's unanimous ruling supports a law that requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban effective January 19. Trump has indicated that he will review the situation before making a decision on the app's future, leaving open the possibility of intervention to prevent the ban, which Chew argued is a stand for the First Amendment and against arbitrary censorship.
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TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%