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Market
How many active TikTok users will there be in the US after January 19, 2025?
3
TikTok•United States•Biden•Biden Administration•White House•Department of Justice•Apple•Google•Amazon•Oracle
Resolution / Starting Odds
Over 170 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Under 100 million • 25%
Reports from TikTok or major analytics firms
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19, Impacting 170 Million Users, Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 01:41 AM
TikTok announced that it will shut down its app in the United States on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration provides a definitive statement assuring that the ban on the app will not be enforced. The company stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." TikTok emphasized that current responses from the White House and the Department of Justice lack the necessary clarity for service providers such as Apple, Google, Amazon, and Oracle, which are essential for maintaining the app's availability to over 170 million active U.S. users. The company is urging the administration to provide the required assurances to prevent the app from going offline.
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Similar markets
150-170 million • 25%
Above 170 million • 25%
130-150 million • 25%
Below 130 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
150 to 200 million • 25%
100 to 150 million • 25%
More than 200 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Less than 50 million • 25%
50-100 million • 25%
More than 150 million • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
More than 150 million • 25%
50-100 million • 25%
Less than 50 million • 25%
User base stable • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Data not available • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under new ownership • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
1.2 to 1.5 billion • 25%
More than 1.5 billion • 25%
1 to 1.2 billion • 25%
Less than 1 billion • 25%
