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What will be the outcome of the TikTok ban in the US by April 20, 2025?
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Shou Zi Chew•TikTok•Donald Trump•The New York Times•Chew•Mark Zuckerberg•Elon Musk•Jeff Bezos•China•ByteDance•United States•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Official announcements from the US government or legal documents
Story
Trump Invites TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Inauguration Amid Potential Ban Delay
Jan 16, 2025, 02:30 PM
Shou Zi Chew, the chief executive officer of TikTok, plans to attend President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, according to multiple reports including The New York Times. Chew has been invited to sit in a position of honor on the dais alongside other prominent tech leaders such as Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos. The invitation comes as TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, faces a looming nationwide ban in the United States, set to take effect the day before the inauguration. Trump, who has amassed 14 million followers on TikTok, is reportedly considering issuing an executive order to delay the implementation of the ban by 60 to 90 days upon taking office.
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Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban is modified • 34%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%