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What will be the outcome for TikTok's U.S. operations by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, TikTok, or U.S. government
Story
Supreme Court Unanimously Upholds TikTok Ban Starting Sunday Unless ByteDance Divests
Jan 17, 2025, 03:08 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously upheld, in a 9-0 decision, a federal law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the popular social media app by Sunday, January 19th, or face a nationwide ban. The ruling, which rejected TikTok's First Amendment challenge, allows the divest-or-ban law to go into effect as scheduled. The Court cited national security concerns over data collection practices and Chinese control of the app. The ban, set to begin this Sunday, could potentially affect TikTok's 170 million American users unless ByteDance complies with the divestment requirement.
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Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%