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Outcome of TikTok's US status by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Banned • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the US government or TikTok.
Story
Trump to 'Most Likely' Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension After Ban Set for Sunday
Jan 18, 2025, 06:25 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News on Saturday that he will "most likely" grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a ban in the United States after he takes office on Monday. The ban is currently set to take effect on Sunday after the Supreme Court upheld it. Trump noted, "We have to look at it carefully. It's a very big situation," and mentioned that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to negotiate a deal to continue operations in the U.S.
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Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
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TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%
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No change • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
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Operational under new ownership • 25%
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Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
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Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
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ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
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Extension granted for divestment • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
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Operational with restrictions • 25%