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What will be the outcome of Turkey's involvement in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and government announcements
Story
Trump Calls Assad a 'Butcher,' Says Turkey Behind 'Unfriendly Takeover' in Syria, Praises Erdogan
Dec 16, 2024, 05:28 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump has stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, describing the event as an 'unfriendly takeover' by Turkey. Trump remarked that 'Turkey wanted Syria for thousands of years' and praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that he 'got along with Erdogan great.' He highlighted that Erdogan has built a 'very strong, powerful army' that has not been worn out by war. Trump called Assad a 'butcher' for his actions against children and suggested that 'Turkey holds the key to Syria's future.' He added that although no one knows the final outcome in Syria, he believes Turkey will emerge as the winner.
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Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%