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Will Turkey establish control over significant Syrian territory by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and government announcements
Story
Trump Calls Assad a 'Butcher,' Says Turkey Behind 'Unfriendly Takeover' in Syria, Praises Erdogan
Dec 16, 2024, 05:28 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump has stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, describing the event as an 'unfriendly takeover' by Turkey. Trump remarked that 'Turkey wanted Syria for thousands of years' and praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that he 'got along with Erdogan great.' He highlighted that Erdogan has built a 'very strong, powerful army' that has not been worn out by war. Trump called Assad a 'butcher' for his actions against children and suggested that 'Turkey holds the key to Syria's future.' He added that although no one knows the final outcome in Syria, he believes Turkey will emerge as the winner.
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Stable control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Other status • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control Damascus • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control Aleppo • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control both Damascus and Aleppo • 25%
Neither city under Turkey-backed control • 25%
Counter-terrorism efforts • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Refugee repatriation • 25%
Political stabilization • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%