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What will be the outcome of US-Turkey cooperation on Syria by the end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Turkish•Hakan Fidan•Tayyip Erdogan•Ankara•Syria•Blinken•Fidan•ISIS•US•Turkey•Hamas•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%
Official government statements and credible news reports
Story
Blinken and Turkey's Fidan Agree on Syria's Future, Urge Gaza Ceasefire
Dec 13, 2024, 10:02 AM
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara to discuss efforts to stabilize Syria and combat terrorism. Blinken and Fidan agreed on the importance of preventing the resurgence of ISIS and other terrorist groups in Syria, emphasizing the necessity to deny territory to ISIS. Blinken noted that the US and Turkey have a broad agreement on what they want to see in Syria's future. They also discussed their countries' potential roles in shaping Syria's future, emphasizing cooperation on ensuring Syria's stability, unity, and sovereignty. Additionally, Blinken urged Turkey to use its influence over Hamas to agree to a ceasefire in Gaza, with both sides agreeing that a ceasefire should be reached as soon as possible.
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Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change in ISIS activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Significant reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiatives • 25%
No significant cooperation • 25%
Joint military operations • 25%
Diplomatic engagements • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions leading to sanctions • 25%
Agreement on de-escalation measures • 25%
Continued diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%