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What will be the outcome of Turkey's diplomatic efforts in Syria by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Turkish government and international diplomatic communiques
Story
Turkey Vows to Prevent PKK/YPG Exploitation of Syrian Instability, Upholds Regional Security
Dec 5, 2024, 09:07 AM
Turkey's Ministry of National Defense has announced that it will not allow the PKK/YPG terrorist group to exploit instability in Syria. The ministry stated that the group poses a significant threat to Syria's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and regional security. Measures are being taken by Turkish forces to maintain stability in the region, including close coordination with counterparts in northern Syria's operational zones. The ministry emphasized that Turkey will uphold agreements in these areas and expects the same from others involved.
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Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%
Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%