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What will be the outcome of Turkey-Syria diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Official statements or agreements published by Turkish or Syrian governments
Story
Turkey Reopens Damascus Embassy on Saturday, Aims to Address YPG Threat
Dec 13, 2024, 07:21 PM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that the Turkish Embassy in Damascus will reopen on Saturday, December 14, 2024, marking the first time since 2012 that the embassy will resume operations. This decision follows a period of strained relations due to the Syrian civil war. Fidan emphasized Turkey's desire for a Syria free of terrorism and inclusive governance. He also mentioned that the number of Syrians in Turkey returning to their homeland is expected to increase as stability returns to Syria. The move to reopen the embassy is part of Turkey's broader strategy to engage with the new Syrian government and address issues like terrorism and the presence of the YPG, which Turkey considers a strategic threat.
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Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full restoration • 25%
Partial restoration • 25%
No restoration • 25%
Other • 25%
Full normalization • 25%
Partial normalization • 25%
No change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%
Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%