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What will be the outcome of Turkey's strategy against YPG in Syria by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Official statements from the Turkish government and international media reports
Story
Turkey Aims to Eliminate YPG in Syria Amidst HTS-Led Transition
Dec 13, 2024, 07:42 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has declared the elimination of the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) in Syria as a strategic goal for Ankara. Fidan emphasized that the YPG must either dissolve itself or face elimination, highlighting Turkey's stance against the group, which is considered a terror organization by Turkey, the EU, and the US. He also warned Israel against its 'dangerous strategy' to undermine Syria's new administration, led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), and stressed the importance of ensuring the safety of Kurds living in the region during the elimination of YPG. Fidan's comments come amidst a broader context of regional power dynamics, with Turkey coordinating with various stakeholders to support a peaceful transition in Syria.
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Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Collaborative operations with Syria • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%