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Outcome of Turkey's Involvement in Syria by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Erdogan Announces Hakan Fidan's Upcoming Visit to Syria for Constitutional Reform and Support for New State Structure
Dec 20, 2024, 11:11 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced that Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan will soon visit Syria to collaborate on a new state structure. Erdogan emphasized the importance of supporting the new Syrian administration in its development, stating that Syrian citizens will determine their future. He highlighted the need for constitutional reform as a critical step in rebuilding Syria. Erdogan's remarks came during his return from a trip to Egypt, where he reiterated Turkey's commitment to assist Syria in establishing its governance framework and ensuring security along its southern border.
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Increased territorial control • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
SDF regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%