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What will be the level of U.S. involvement in Ukraine-Russia negotiations in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
High involvement • 25%
Moderate involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Statements from U.S. government officials or major international news outlets
Story
Macron Urges Ukraine for 'Realistic' Territorial Talks in Fourth Year of Conflict
Jan 6, 2025, 01:00 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron has urged Ukraine to engage in 'realistic' discussions on territorial issues as the conflict with Russia enters its fourth year. Speaking at the Elysee Palace to French ambassadors, Macron emphasized that only Ukrainians can conduct these negotiations. He warned that there will be no 'quick and easy solution' to the conflict, rejecting the notion of a swift settlement despite recent comments from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Macron stressed the importance of U.S. assistance in pressuring Russia to return to negotiations and highlighted Europe's responsibility to provide Ukraine with security guarantees. He also cautioned that Western credibility would be undermined by any compromise due to 'fatigue' from the prolonged conflict.
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No involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
Moderate involvement • 25%
High involvement • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia, US, EU, and other countries • 25%
Other configurations • 25%
Only Russia and the US • 25%
Russia, US, and EU countries • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Supportive but not mediating • 25%
Other role • 25%
Non-participatory • 25%
Mediating role • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%