Market
What type of security guarantees will European countries provide to Ukraine in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Comprehensive security guarantees • 25%
Limited security guarantees • 25%
No new security guarantees • 25%
Security guarantees revoked • 25%
Official announcements from European governments or major international news outlets
Story
Macron Urges Ukraine for 'Realistic' Territorial Talks in Fourth Year of Conflict
Jan 6, 2025, 01:00 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron has urged Ukraine to engage in 'realistic' discussions on territorial issues as the conflict with Russia enters its fourth year. Speaking at the Elysee Palace to French ambassadors, Macron emphasized that only Ukrainians can conduct these negotiations. He warned that there will be no 'quick and easy solution' to the conflict, rejecting the notion of a swift settlement despite recent comments from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Macron stressed the importance of U.S. assistance in pressuring Russia to return to negotiations and highlighted Europe's responsibility to provide Ukraine with security guarantees. He also cautioned that Western credibility would be undermined by any compromise due to 'fatigue' from the prolonged conflict.
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Similar markets
No guarantees • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Diplomatic assurances • 25%
Military support • 25%
NATO • 25%
EU only • 25%
None • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
Military support • 25%
Diplomatic assurances • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Bilateral security pact with the US • 25%
NATO membership • 25%
No formal guarantee • 25%
UN-backed security guarantee • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%