Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts in Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and international organizations
Story
Marco Rubio Declares Ending Ukraine War a Key U.S. Policy, Citing Stalemate and Trump's Commitment
Jan 21, 2025, 02:57 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has announced that ending the war in Ukraine will be an official policy of the United States, in line with President Trump's commitment to prioritize peace. Rubio described the conflict as a 'stalemate' and emphasized the need for the war to end, highlighting the U.S. intention to play a key role in the diplomatic efforts required to achieve a sustainable end to the conflict. The policy aims to promote peace and end the conflict, which Rubio noted has been initiated by Russia and has caused significant damage to Ukraine, Russia, and the stability of the European Union.
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Peace settlement achieved • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Strengthened military support • 25%
Reduced military support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%