Market
Outcome of U.S.-Russia diplomatic relations regarding Ukraine by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Official U.S. State Department and Russian Foreign Ministry announcements
Story
Trump Signals Potential Cut in U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine Under Future Administration
Dec 8, 2024, 02:42 PM
Former President Donald Trump has indicated that Ukraine should not expect the same level of military aid from the U.S. under his potential future administration. In an interview with NBC News' 'Meet the Press,' Trump expressed his intention to actively try to end the war in Ukraine if he could, while also suggesting that Ukraine might receive less military support than it did under the Biden administration. This stance was reiterated in multiple reports, where Trump mentioned that Ukraine should prepare for a reduction in aid. He also refused to answer questions regarding any communication with Russian President Vladimir Putin after his election.
View original story
Similar markets
Escalation in conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%