Market
Which countries will be involved in Ukraine negotiations by the end of 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•United States•Western•Patrushev•Moscow•London•Brussels•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Ukrainian•US•Donald Trump•Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Only Russia and the US • 25%
Russia, US, and EU countries • 25%
Russia, US, EU, and other countries • 25%
Other configurations • 25%
Reports from international organizations and major news outlets
Story
Putin's Aide Warns Ukraine Could Cease to Exist by 2025, Calls for Direct Russia-US Talks Excluding Other Western Countries
Jan 14, 2025, 12:47 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, an aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has stated that negotiations on Ukraine should be conducted exclusively between Russia and the United States, without the participation of other Western countries. Patrushev emphasized that Moscow has nothing to discuss with London or Brussels regarding Ukraine. Additionally, he warned that Ukraine could 'cease to exist' as a country by 2025, a statement made during an interview with the Russian state-backed outlet Komsomolskaya Pravda. Patrushev described the Ukrainian people as 'close, brotherly, and bound to Russia by centuries-old ties.' He also mentioned that any future discussions on Ukraine should consider the stance of US President-elect Donald Trump, who has confirmed plans for a potential meeting with Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine.
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Similar markets
Russia, US, and other countries • 25%
Only Russia and US • 25%
Russia, US, and EU • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, and EU • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, and NATO • 25%
Russia and Ukraine only • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, and other parties • 25%
US and Russia only • 25%
US, Russia, and China • 25%
US, Russia, and EU • 25%
Other combinations • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
U.S. involvement • 25%
No third-party involvement • 25%
China involvement • 25%
Other combination • 25%
U.S., EU, Ukraine • 25%
U.S., Russia, EU • 25%
U.S., Russia, Ukraine • 25%
Other combinations • 25%
Ukraine, Russia, and EU countries • 25%
Ukraine, Russia, and USA • 25%
Ukraine and Russia only • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
No third-party involvement • 25%
Non-European countries involved • 25%
British involvement • 25%
European countries only • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%