Market
What will be the status of Ukraine-Russia negotiations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments or credible news sources
Story
Putin Ready to Meet Trump After Four Years, Open to Talks with Re-elected Zelensky
Dec 19, 2024, 11:06 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced during his annual press conference that he is ready to meet with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at any time. Putin noted that he has not spoken with Trump in over four years but expressed openness to future discussions. He emphasized that "politics is the art of compromise" and stated that Russia is always prepared for negotiations and compromises. Putin also indicated his willingness to engage in talks with Ukraine, saying he is ready to negotiate with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky if he is re-elected, and that any discussions must be based on the previous Istanbul agreements and the current facts on the ground. Putin's remarks come as Trump has recently called for a ceasefire and negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.
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Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%