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What will be the outcome of Turkey's diplomatic efforts to end YPG's occupation in Syria by 2025?
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Tayyip Erdogan•Syria•Turkey•Justice and Development Party•AKP•Ankara•Erdogan•Syrian•Islamic State•ISIS•YPG•Assad regime
Resolution / Starting Odds
YPG disbands and surrenders arms • 25%
YPG maintains current stance • 25%
YPG increases territorial control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Turkish or Syrian governments or reports from major news agencies
Story
Erdogan Vows to Crush ISIS and YPG in Syria Post-Assad, Urges Foreign Withdrawal
Jan 15, 2025, 10:12 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has issued a stern warning to all countries to cease their involvement in Syria, asserting that Turkey possesses the capability to decisively confront and eliminate all terrorist organizations within the country. Speaking at a parliamentary group meeting of his Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Ankara, Erdogan emphasized Turkey's readiness to collaborate with Syrian allies to crush groups such as the Islamic State (ISIS) and the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG). He specifically highlighted the YPG's occupation of nearly one-third of Syrian territory and its exploitation of the nation's natural resources, stating that the group faces an inevitable end if it does not disband and surrender its arms. Erdogan's comments come in the wake of the fall of the Assad regime, with Turkey expressing its commitment to support the new Syrian administration in rebuilding efforts and addressing security concerns.
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No success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete success • 25%