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What will be the outcome of Turkey's policy towards YPG in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Official statements from the Turkish government or confirmed reports from international news agencies
Story
Turkish FM Declares Imminent Eradication of Kurdish YPG in Syria, Rejects ISIS Pretext
Jan 6, 2025, 11:35 AM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has declared that the eradication of the Kurdish YPG militia in Syria is imminent. He emphasized that the PKK must lay down its arms as soon as possible and that Ankara will not allow the PKK to gain strength under the pretext of fighting ISIS. Fidan stated that the PKK's empire of violence, built on exploiting the sentiments of Kurdish people, is on the verge of collapse. He also mentioned that Turkey will not agree to any policy that allows the YPG to maintain a presence in Syria.
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Partial elimination • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
YPG disbands • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG does not disband, military operation initiated • 25%
Negotiations lead to a compromise • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%