Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's military operations against PKK/YPG in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Reports from Turkish government, independent international observers, and news agencies
Story
Turkey Says Eradication of PKK/YPG Imminent; Warns Against Strengthening PKK Under ISIS Pretext
Jan 6, 2025, 12:00 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that the eradication of the PKK/YPG terror group in Syria is imminent. "We think that eliminating the PKK/YPG issue in Syria is a matter of time," Fidan said. He declared that Turkey will not allow the PKK to gain strength under the pretext of fighting ISIS and will not agree to any policy that allows the YPG to maintain a presence in Syria. He warned Western countries against supporting the group for other aims. Fidan stated that the "empire of violence" the PKK has built by exploiting the noble sentiments of Kurdish people is on the verge of collapsing. He urged the PKK/YPG to lay down their arms and leave Syria as soon as possible.
View original story
Similar markets
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
No success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%