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What will be the primary outcome of Turkey's diplomatic efforts in Syria by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts and major news outlets
Story
Erdogan Announces Turkey's Plan to Open Consulate in Aleppo to Aid Syria's $500 Billion Reconstruction
Dec 25, 2024, 10:26 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced that Turkey will soon open a consulate general in Aleppo, Syria. This move is part of Turkey's broader strategy to enhance its diplomatic and economic support for Syria's reconstruction, focusing on sectors such as energy, education, health care, security, and trade. Erdogan emphasized Turkey's commitment to assisting Syria, highlighting the country's efforts in reopening its embassy in Damascus and supporting the new Syrian leadership under Ahmed al-Sharaa. The announcement comes amidst ongoing efforts to stabilize the region and support Syria's recovery from war-related damages, estimated at $500 billion by the United Nations.
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Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of a new Syrian government • 25%
Continuation of current regime with reforms • 25%
Federalization of Syria into autonomous regions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Deterioration of situation • 25%