Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok U.S. ban by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok divested • 34%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes Merger With TikTok U.S., Valued Over $50 Billion, Amid Potential Ban
Jan 18, 2025, 08:31 PM
Perplexity AI has submitted a bid to merge with TikTok's U.S. operations, proposing the creation of a new entity that would combine Perplexity, TikTok U.S., and new capital partners. The bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. set to take effect on January 19, unless ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, divests or the ban is delayed. The proposed merger structure would allow most of ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and aims to enhance Perplexity's offerings with more video content. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to finalize a deal after his inauguration on Monday. The bid is estimated to value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Ban remains in place • 33%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%