Loading...
Market
What will be the valuation of TikTok U.S. if a merger/divestment occurs by April 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Over $50 billion • 25%
$40-50 billion • 25%
$30-40 billion • 25%
Under $30 billion • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible financial news sources
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes Merger With TikTok U.S., Valued Over $50 Billion, Amid Potential Ban
Jan 18, 2025, 08:31 PM
Perplexity AI has submitted a bid to merge with TikTok's U.S. operations, proposing the creation of a new entity that would combine Perplexity, TikTok U.S., and new capital partners. The bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. set to take effect on January 19, unless ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, divests or the ban is delayed. The proposed merger structure would allow most of ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and aims to enhance Perplexity's offerings with more video content. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to finalize a deal after his inauguration on Monday. The bid is estimated to value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion.
View original story
Similar markets
No acquisition • 25%
Not acquired • 25%
Acquired by non-American company • 25%
Acquired by American company • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. tech company • 25%
Private equity firm • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%