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What will be the outcome of TikTok's appeal against the U.S. ban by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings and official announcements from the U.S. Court of Appeals or Supreme Court
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban Effective January 19, 2025, as Trump Signals Support
Dec 9, 2024, 07:24 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit upheld a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell the popular app or face a ban in the United States by January 19, 2025. TikTok, which has 170 million U.S. users, and ByteDance have filed an emergency motion seeking an injunction to block the law until their appeal can be heard by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may try to halt the ban and save the app. The legislation reflects bipartisan concerns in Congress over national security and data privacy. TikTok argues that the ban would violate the First Amendment and denies allegations of data misuse.
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Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Force divestiture • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%