Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok ban review by January 19, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Official announcements from the White House or relevant government agencies
Story
Trump Expresses Support for TikTok, Won Youth by 34 Points, Signals Review of Ban Set for January 19
Dec 16, 2024, 05:19 PM
President-elect Donald Trump expressed a favorable view of TikTok, stating, "I have a warm spot in my heart for TikTok," during a recent press interaction. He indicated that he would consider reviewing a potential ban on the app, which is set to take effect on January 19, 2024. Trump attributed part of his electoral success to TikTok, claiming he won the youth vote by 34 percentage points and suggesting that the platform played a role in engaging younger voters. His comments mark a notable shift from his previous hard-line stance against the app during his presidency, when concerns about its Chinese ownership were prevalent. The odds of a TikTok ban occurring before May 2024 have reportedly decreased to 38% following his remarks, reflecting a potential change in policy direction under his administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok wins the legal challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the legal challenge • 25%
Case is settled out of court • 25%
Case is postponed beyond January 19, 2024 • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Challenges upheld • 33%
Challenges rejected • 33%
Case unresolved • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold • 33%
No action taken • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
ByteDance divests US assets • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%