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What will be the status of TikTok's US operations by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, US government, or major news outlets
Story
Kevin O'Leary Bids $20 Billion for TikTok's US Operations Before January 19 Ban Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 11:35 PM
Kevin O'Leary, known from 'Shark Tank,' has made a $20 billion cash offer to purchase TikTok's US operations from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance. This bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the US, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, unless the platform is sold. The Supreme Court upheld a federal law that requires TikTok to be sold or face a shutdown due to national security concerns. O'Leary's offer is part of a broader effort to save the platform for its 170 million American users, amidst the looming deadline. O'Leary has expressed excitement about the situation and warned that service providers could face significant fines if they continue to support TikTok post-ban.
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Operational without change • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Operational • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%