Market
What will be the outcome of a U.S.-Russia diplomatic meeting on Ukraine crisis by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Meeting occurs with resolution • 25%
Meeting occurs without resolution • 25%
No meeting occurs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Russian governments or coverage by international news agencies
Story
Putin Claims Ukrainian Crisis Could Have Been Averted if Trump Won 2020 Election
Jan 24, 2025, 03:12 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the Ukrainian crisis, which emerged in 2022, might not have occurred if Donald Trump had won the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Putin's comments suggest that he believes the election was 'stolen' from Trump, implying that a different outcome could have prevented the conflict in Ukraine.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%