Market
Will U.S. foreign policy towards Russia shift significantly by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. State Department or coverage by reputable news agencies
Story
Putin Claims Ukrainian Crisis Could Have Been Averted if Trump Won 2020 Election
Jan 24, 2025, 03:12 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the Ukrainian crisis, which emerged in 2022, might not have occurred if Donald Trump had won the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Putin's comments suggest that he believes the election was 'stolen' from Trump, implying that a different outcome could have prevented the conflict in Ukraine.
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No significant change • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
Unclear or mixed signals • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Decreased sanctions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved significantly • 25%
Improved slightly • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Alliance formation • 25%