Market
What will be the outcome of the next major US-Ukraine-Russia diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or press releases following the meeting
Story
Biden Directs Surge of Arms Deliveries to Ukraine Amid Horrific Attacks from Russia
Dec 25, 2024, 09:36 PM
President Biden has directed the Department of Defense to maintain and increase arms shipments to Ukraine amid rising tensions with Russia. This decision reflects the United States' ongoing commitment to support Ukraine in its defense against external threats. In a statement, Biden emphasized the need to strengthen Ukraine's position against Russian forces and noted the recent attacks by Russia as 'horrific.' The U.S. will continue to work tirelessly to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities.
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Significant Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No Talks • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Talks Not Held • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%