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What will be the outcome of US diplomatic actions regarding Ukraine and Russia by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and international organizations
Story
Trump Opposes Ukraine's Use of US ATACMS Missiles Against Russia, Kremlin Agrees
Dec 13, 2024, 06:19 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed strong opposition to Ukraine's use of American long-range ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory, according to an interview published by Time magazine. Trump criticized the Biden administration's decision to allow these strikes, arguing that it escalates the conflict unnecessarily. He stated, 'I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that? We’re just escalating this war and making it worse.' Despite his criticism, Trump indicated he would not abandon Ukraine and aims to negotiate a ceasefire. The Kremlin has praised Trump's stance, with spokesman Dmitri Peskov saying it 'fully aligns' with Moscow's position on the escalation of the conflict.
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Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
No progress • 25%
Preliminary talks only • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%