Market
What will be the outcome of US-Russia talks on Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•United States•Western•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Moscow•London•Brussels•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from US or Russian government
Story
Putin's Advisor Patrushev Insists on Exclusive US-Russia Talks on Ukraine, Predicts Demise by 2025
Jan 14, 2025, 12:14 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a prominent advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has stated that negotiations regarding Ukraine should exclusively involve Russia and the United States, excluding other Western countries. In an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev emphasized that Moscow has no interest in discussing Ukraine with London or Brussels, indicating a preference for direct talks between Moscow and Washington. Additionally, Patrushev predicted that Ukraine might cease to exist by the end of 2025, adding a provocative forecast to the ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Talks Not Held • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Continuation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%