Market
What will be the outcome of the Putin-Trump meeting on Ukraine by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Official statements from the Kremlin, White House, or credible news sources
Story
Putin and Trump to Meet 'As Soon as Possible' to End Ukraine War
Dec 22, 2024, 06:06 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed his willingness to meet with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to discuss resolving the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Putin stated that "if there is a desire, everything can be done; we have never lost it," emphasizing that Russia is ready to normalize relations with the United States but not at the expense of its national interests. He also noted that "the West is escalating the situation, and Russia will always respond to any challenge." Trump confirmed that Putin wishes to meet "as soon as possible" and emphasized the need to "end that war," calling the number of soldiers being killed "horrible."
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Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%