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What will be the outcome of Turkey's military operation in northern Syria by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant PKK/YPG losses • 25%
Minor PKK/YPG losses • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Turkish National Defense Ministry or credible news agencies
Story
Turkish Armed Forces Neutralize 29 PKK/YPG Terrorists Preparing for Attack in Northern Syria, Says Defense Ministry
Jan 17, 2025, 08:53 AM
The Turkish Armed Forces have neutralized 29 PKK/YPG terrorists in northern Syria who were reportedly preparing for an attack. This operation was confirmed by the Turkish National Defense Ministry, highlighting a continued effort to combat terrorism in the region. The action is seen as a significant blow to the PKK, which has been involved in ongoing conflicts in Turkey and its borders. The operation underscores Turkey's commitment to addressing threats from terrorist organizations operating near its territory.
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Ceasefire reached • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%