Loading...
Market
What will be the political fallout in Lebanon following the Majdal Shams attack by December 31, 2024?
2
White House•Majdal Shams•Druze•Golan Heights•Lebanese Hezbollah•National Security Council•NSC•Adrienne Watson•Israel•Iranian•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Government collapse • 25%
Hezbollah gains more power • 25%
Increased civil unrest • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the Lebanese government and credible news reports
Story
White House Condemns Hezbollah Rocket Attack on Majdal Shams in Golan Heights, Killing 11 Children
Jul 28, 2024, 05:28 PM
The White House has condemned a rocket attack on Majdal Shams, a Druze minority town in the Golan Heights, which resulted in the deaths of at least 11 children and teenagers. The attack, which occurred on a soccer field, has been attributed to Lebanese Hezbollah. The National Security Council (NSC) spokesperson Adrienne Watson affirmed the U.S.'s unwavering support for Israel's security and condemned the actions of Iranian-backed terrorist groups, including Hezbollah. The incident has drawn widespread condemnation, with officials and communities expressing solidarity with the victims' families and calling for justice.
View original story
Similar markets
Government instability • 25%
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Increased opposition to Hezbollah • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Government Resignation • 25%
New Elections Announced • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Government remains unchanged • 25%
Government resigns • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
Civil unrest increases • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for international intervention • 25%
Internal political turmoil • 25%
Calls for peace negotiations • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Community protests • 25%
Government support initiatives • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Resignation of a key Lebanese politician • 25%
Increased military actions against Israel • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest to the UN • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Increased civil unrest • 25%
New coalition government • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Decreased support for Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Government instability • 25%
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Increased support for pro-Western factions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Hezbollah gains more political power • 25%
Hezbollah loses political power • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other significant change • 25%